An injury-stricken Liverpool squad is looking for a morale boost as the Reds travel to Italy for their UEFA Champions League group-stage opener against high-flying Serie A side Napoli.
Liverpool have started the Premier League season with a sputter, winning just twice in six games while drawing with Fulham, Crystal Palace and Everton, and losing at Manchester United. They have put the offense and defense together for a full 90-minute performance just once, the 9-0 outburst against Bournemouth. Outside that result, the Reds have scored just six goals while conceding six.
The opposite is true for Napoli, who sit second in the Serie A table through five matches, behind just leaders Atalanta. They've scored 12 goals while conceding just four. They dominated Lazio on the road last time out, with a winner from electric new addition Khvicha Kvaratskhelia, plucked from Georgian club Dinamo Batumi in the summer.
The Reds will be desperate for a good start to group-stage play, given the slips in Premier League competition, as another stumble would raise even more cause for concern amongst supporters. Darwin Nunez in particular could use a good showing after his poor return from suspension against Everton ov psg shirt official er the weekend.
MORE: Champions League group stage picks & predictions for 2022/23 tournament
Napoli vs. Liverpool betting odds
Liverpool are the favorites despite playing away from home, but the Reds are knocked back slightly given the respective starts by each club in their domestic leagues.
The Reds have won just two of their first six Premier League matches, while Napoli are off to a flying start with 11 points through their first five games in Serie A.
Still, Liverpoo lionel messi jersey 2021 l are favored, and goals are expected in the match, with both teams heavily backed to score and the over 2.5 goals is skewed as well. The half-goal spread seems almost dead-on, with Napoli just slightly favored on the slight handicap.
to score Y / N
|-170 / +130
|1.52 / 2.21
|Over / Under
|-160 / +130
|1.64 / 2.23
Napoli vs. Liverpool recent history
Napoli vs. Liverpool all-time record: Napoli 2 wins, Liverpool 2 wins, 2 draws
This series has been dominated by the home team, with a perfectly even 2-2-2 split through six all-time matchups.
The host has never lost across the all psg messi uniform -time series, with Liverpool winning twice and drawing once at Anfield, while Napoli have two wins and a draw at the Stadio Diego Armando Maradona.
It's also been a low-scoring all-time series, with only two goals for the road team across the six matches, both scored by Napoli.
Napoli vs. Liverpool last 5 matches
|Nov. 27, 2019
|UEFA Champions League
|Liverpool 1-1 Napoli
|Sept. 17, 2019
|UEFA Champions League
|Napoli 2-0 Liverpool
|Dec. 11, 2018
|UEFA Champions League
Group St messi 2009 barcelona jersey age
|Liverpool 1-0 Napoli
|Oct. 3, 2018
|UEFA Champions League
|Napoli 1-0 Liverpool
|Nov. 4, 2010
|UEFA Europa League
|Liverpool 3-1 Napoli
MORE: Liverpool fixtures & schedule for 2022/23 Champions League journey
Napoli vs. Liverpool prediction
Everything but the odds are looking in Napoli's favor heading into this match. Recent form, historical matchups, and road results all indicate that the Italian side could be set for a positive opening result.
As seen above, Liverpool have not only never won at the Maradona, but they've also never scored in three previous trips. Even the previous two home matches against Napoli were grinders, with a 1-0 win in 2018 and a 1-1 draw a year later.
The early league form this season favors Napoli heavily, with the Italian side crushing Serie A competition while Liverpool flounder in Premier League action. Napoli lead Serie A in both ex psg shirts nz pected goals (11.77 xG) and expected goals allowed (2.96 xGA). Liverpool sit second in the Premier League psg shirt messi 30 with 14.11 xG, but 4.86 of that came against Bournemouth alone, while the 7.15 xGA puts them sixth, a good way behind the top four defensive sides.
Napoli should be able to pull out a victory, or even a draw, and the odds give bettors a great way to capitalize on such a result.
Moneyline lean: Napoli (+255 on Caesars)
Against the Spread lean: Napoli +0.5 (-125 on Caesars)
Scoreline prediction: Napoli 1-0 Liverpool
Napoli vs. Liverpool best bets & expert analysis
Napoli vs. Liverpool best bet
Most of the reasoning here has been laid out above, but it will take a special turnaround for Liverpool to earn a result on the road in Italy, and backing Napoli provides excellent value.
Even looking back at Liverpool in last season's Champions League, their trips to Italy were a struggle. With the Reds in far better form last year than they are now, they required two late goals to top Inter 2-0 while it took a pair of come-from-behind efforts to beat AC Milan in both group-stage meetings.
This year, both the attack and defense are sputtering at various points. Liverpool have kept just two clean sheets over their first six matches, coming against relegation candidates Bournemouth and Everton. Meanwhile, they conceded to Crystal Palace and Newcastle United plus a pair of goals allowed against Fulham and Man United.
On the flip side, Nunez and Mohamed Salah have underwhelmed in the wake of Sadio Mane's departure, leaving Luis Diaz to carry the offense himself, although Roberto Firmino did at least produce a star turn against Bournemouth.
Pick: Double Chance — Napoli or Draw (-123 on Caesars)
Napoli vs. Liverpool prop: Total goals
Liverpool's attack has misfired on multiple occasions to start the season. They've collected a goal haul under their expected goals total in four of the six Premier League games this season, including a goose egg last time out against Everton where they racked up 1.39 xG on a whopping 23 shots, resulting in an abysmal 0.06 xG/shot total that indicates quantity of efforts over quality.
Salah in particular has misfired up front, to the tune that fans believe he could be benched. He's delivering shot assists at a high volume, averaging four per match, but they're low-quality deliveries, averaging just 0.08 xA per key pass. Expand it further to all of Salah's involvements, and he's got just a 0.28 xGBuildup/90, which measures the expected goals number of all the attacking moves he's involved in that result in a shot.
Napoli have started the season well, but if there's one issue with the Serie A club, it's a lack of quality finishing. Kvaratskhelia is a brilliant addition at just 21 years old, and Piotr Zielinski leads the entire Italian top flight in expected assists with 2.52 xA through five games, yet Victor Osimhen hasn't quite delivered on the healthy source of creativity. The Nigerian has just two goals to his name despite a 4.73 xG number thus far, missing big chances in the 1-1 draw with Lecce plus a misfire in the 0-0 result against Fiorentina. Osimhen may not even play in the match due to a hamstring injury, which would add to the difficulties up front.
Expect a defensive battle at the Maradona on Wednesday. On Ca psg jordan goalkeeper jersey esar's Sportsbook, you can even combine a Napoli win with the under to boost up to a +700 payout, which would be a prime choice, but for now we'll keep the official pick a little safer.
Prop kicker: Under 2.5 goals (+130 on Caesars)
Napoli vs. Liverpool prop flier: Corners & cards
With few goals expected in this match, the attacking output in general is likely to be lobotomized.
Bot psg kit 6-7 years h these teams average over seven corners a game in league play this season, and in European play last term, but those numbers won't simply combine in a match between the two clubs.
When Napoli played Barcelona last year at Camp Nou, a match that finished in a 1-1 draw, Barca managed just five corners while Napoli collected just two. Meanwhile, when Liverpool took on another Italian side Inter at Anfield last year in the second leg of their round-of-16 matchup, despite Inter playing for around a half-hour down a man, Liverpool still managed just eight corners in the match, with Inter collecting two.
There is also likely to be a limited number of cards shown in the game. The two clubs average fewer than two cards a match in league play this year, with Napoli the slightly more aggressive side. The official is Spanish referee Carlos del Cerro Grande, who has proven lenient with retro messi shirt English and Italian clubs in his Champions League career. While he has never officiated a Liverpool match before, he has taken charge of a Napoli game three times previously, only dishing out a total of five yellows to the Italian side.
Combine these two likely events for a solid return.
Prop flier: Under 10 corners and under 4 cards (+200 on C psg home shirts aesars)